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It makes cheap trading sense. All is not lost, though. This mid-winter election is widely billed as the least predictable ever — the first to take place in December since While the Tories lead the election polls by uniting most of the Brexiter vote, referendum polls suggest a majority of the country is now Remain.
In each constituency they currently hold, the principal opposition will be a party committed to a second referendum.
Expert opinion is split as to how these divisions will translate into seat totals and the effect of tactical voting on either side.
In two of the last three parliaments, no party won an overall majority. And if the Tories fall short of that majority again, they will be back in the same place as now.
When the government brings the bill back to parliament, an amendment will be put forward to that effect and the majority of MPs will be bound by election commitments to support it.
It could even be the price of a coalition deal with the pro-Remain Liberal Democrats. More than three years later, the UK is still an EU member and literally nobody knows when or whether Brexit will happen.
The process has divided a nation and brought Parliament to a standstill. On the 24th of September the Supreme Court ruled unanimously that the prorogation of Parliament was illegal, creating more Brexit uncertainty and betting market volatility.
In March , Parliament did vote decisively for something. To trigger the exit process known as Article This was supposed to last for two years, while the government negotiated a withdrawal agreement with the EU.
However, the agreement negotiated by then Prime Minister Theresa May failed three times to gain majority support in parliament. Consequently, a six-month extension to Article 50 was agreed and May resigned.
Her Conservative Party is overwhelmingly pro-Brexit and, having voted for Remain in , May was never fully trusted to deliver. The UK party system is unraveling.
With the Conservatives under particular pressure from the Brexit Party, a new leader with stronger Brexit credentials replaced May.
Will he? The last is increasingly plausible because polls suggest the balance of opinion has changed since The new PM says he is negotiating in good faith and determined to get a deal.
Exactly, Donny. What part of it do you not understand? We have been through this probably a dozen or more times in the last few years UB.
Secondly, I don't understand how leavers can dismiss concerns about the complexion of the influx, even as they respond to having their buttons pressed about the danger of the native population being "overrun.
What we are giving up leaving the EU is a near perfect labour market: it goes where it is needed. What we are left with is the intractable half of immigration, our colonial past, people who are less like us, not even Christian in the main.
Firstly, I don't understand how leavers can use the immigration card without recognising that it is not just a numbers game; as far as the interests of the UK are met, more depends on the usefulness of the people who come here.
Close eu door, where do the cheap labour seekers go Folk with right to UK entry Not true itThere is currently no great recruitment campaign in India to bring folkover here, because there is unlimited immigration from eu.
Can't weigh it up. Living in Monaco since Welsh grants dried up? Slightly more than the 3 million British Hong Kongers who we owe the protection of the British Empire to.
Last time I checked the population of Turkey was 82 million. We are reducing the ability of EU citizens to come here NOT increasing the ability of anyone else to come here unless they have the skills and ability to earn.
Point system rather than anyone from the EU can walk in a do a cheap paid job and claim top ups Tory Brexiteers only seized power last summer and since then have got us out of the horrendous EU and introduced the bill outlined above.
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Leave Alliance Brexit remorse. This user is offline. Date Joined: 27 Jan Makes me think of bongo. Poor bongo. The Leave-machine's useful idiot, along with tony Did they really think Brexit was going to be how they were told it was going to be?
Show More. And as much salted herring as you can catch with yer rod. My suspicion is that the Leave Alliance was just a puppet organisation designed to sell a lovely benign Brexit where the whole world relaxes into a free-trade nirvana.
Designed to lure the Adam Smith idiots like bongo who bought the idea. God knows w. I voted to leave the bloated, corrupt, German superstate of the EU.
This has happened. I accepted then, and accept now that there will be a financial cost to leaving, but think that this is a price worth paying.
This follows a truly remarkable couple of days in in parliament which now leaves the U. K in a state scratching their head on when Brexit will actually happen.
To further explain the events and cast an eye on the next months in this space, our political pundits are back on deck.
Brexit is the process of Britain exiting the European Union — an organisation they joined in but voted to leave via a referendum.
The official exit date is March 29th, when the withdrawal process known as Article 50 expires. Deep uncertainty, however, persists regarding whether or when they will leave, or what the relationship will be moving forward.
How this unprecedented and complicated process unfolds is also a multi-faceted betting heat, driven by very fast-moving, unpredictable events.
The facts will likely have changed by the time this article is finished. If the consent of the UK and EU parliaments is secured, a lengthy transition period will guard against immediate, dramatic consequences.
The most difficult questions will be delayed. If parliament rejects the deal, though, all manner of disruption involving everything from trade, transportation, medicines and food security is widely predicted.
Remainers hate a deal that is worse than the status quo. As a result, Conservative colleagues triggered a confidence vote in her leadership of the party.
She survived it by an unconvincing margin, blocking a new challenge for another year, but pledged to stand down before the next election.
The vote on her deal is now re-scheduled for mid-January. Few expect it to win, because her attempts to secure concessions from the EU will not materialise.
At this point, all hell will break loose as parliament tries to take control of the process. Betting on Brexit is nothing like an election or even leadership contests.
Nothing more than a bunch of losers closing their minds to reality. Date Joined: 25 Aug Still working on the brew, not bitter enough seemingly.
As an aside is Edy banned on here? Making a fool of himself on the utube thread. An example showing why remainers are unconvinced by the leave "argument"; why should anyone with reason accept that the EU is "bloated" and "corrupt" maybe when straight after comes the claim that it is a "German superstate" which is clearly false?
Leavers can't get to the end of their first sentence before they trip over their feet. As for it being a cost worth paying, we only wish that the cost be borne by leavers alone.
Poetic justice. Date Joined: 20 Mar Jul 7, -- PM, markzzz wrote:. I think the ultimate failure of doris and gove will be a flotilla of boats coming down the thames and dumping the tonnes of cod they have no market for on to the house of commons terrace bar,.
Date Joined: 03 Dec Jesus, freedom. Suck it all up snowies ,the best is yet to come. Jul 7, -- PM, 1st time poster wrote:.
Jul 7, -- PM, unitedbiscuits wrote:. People from India now have the same rights as people from Romania No, they have more rights, because they have family members living in the Uk and that helps their chances.
We don't need more immigrants Tories do to keep wages down and rents up 3 million from Hong Kong having engineered a dispute with china Just in time.
Jul 7, -- PM, you-have-to-laugh wrote:. And British Asians now unable to go to other eu countries So uk it is. Because they will be able to beat the points based system.
By: lapsy pa Date Joined: 29 Jan 09 Add contact When: 06 Jul 20 i just looked at their twitter page, they don't know who to blame, not themselves anyway but remainers and the tories.
By: you-have-to-laugh Date Joined: 06 Jul 10 Add contact When: 07 Jul 20 most striking is the leaver mentality appearing to think they are some kind of winner - by leaving we all lose or of course all win but they just seem to be oblivious of any common sense about this even after 4 years By: you-have-to-laugh Date Joined: 06 Jul 10 Add contact When: 07 Jul 20 having voted brexit does not give them any advantage, nor disadvantage, whatsoever, over the majority who did not vote for brexit.
InsiderTrader Date Joined: 25 Aug 05 Add contact When: 07 Jul 20 Jul 7, -- PM, 1st time poster wrote: you gain your freedom,does than mean those voting for Brexit to stop immigrants coming to uk get a say on 3 million Chinese giving rights to come here,only fair in the land of the free, as they got a say,nice poster about 3 million turks who couldn't come here, They are Hong Kongers not Chinese and of course they are welcome here if they want to come here.
By: you-have-to-laugh Date Joined: 06 Jul 10 Add contact When: 07 Jul 20 We don't need more immigrants Tories do to keep wages down and rents up 3 million from Hong Kong having engineered a dispute with china Just in time.
InsiderTrader Date Joined: 25 Aug 05 Add contact When: 07 Jul 20 Jul 7, -- PM, you-have-to-laugh wrote: We don't need more immigrantsTories do to keep wages down and rents up3 million from Hong Kong having engineered a dispute with chinaJust in time You really think all 3 million will come from HK?
InsiderTrader Date Joined: 25 Aug 05 Add contact When: 07 Jul 20 Jul 7, -- PM, unitedbiscuits wrote: Career prospects dictate EU migration; Commonwealth migration is very different, with eligibility largely dependent on existing family ties.
If people from India can come here regardless due to family ties what on earth has this got to do with being in the EU or not?Folk with right to UK entry. Jim ratcliffe the latest brexiteer to jump ship. God Lindor Pistazie w. Firstly, I don't understand how leavers can use the immigration card without recognising that it is not just a numbers game; as far as the interests of the UK are met, more depends on the usefulness of the people who come here. Click Lotterie Mit Höchster Gewinnchance to start trading successfully. People from India now have the Euro Million rights as people from RomaniaNo, they have more rights, because they have family members living in the Uk and that helps their chances. As for it being Battle Of Malta cost worth paying, we only wish that the cost be borne by leavers alone. This has happened. They are Hong Kongers not Chinese and of Clipart Party Kostenlos they are welcome here if they want to come here. Sharing the blame around and to some extent sparing the leaders from direct responsibility. Without a majority in parliament, the Tories must force one soon or achieve nothing. Parliamentarians are no less divided than the wider Cash Games and have taken various positions.